As the holiday season fades and routines settle back in, many homeowners quietly ask an important question:
Does our home still fit the life we’re living today?
Maybe your family has grown and storage is tighter than it used to be, or hosting looks different than it once did. Perhaps you’re thinking about simplifying and right-sizing for the years ahead. As we step into 2026, it felt like the right time to pause, reflect, and share what we’re seeing in the housing market- and why this moment feels familiar.
In many ways, today’s market reminds me of the 1990s. Growing up with a father who built homes, our family moved several times, and it was in that era that I first fell in love with real estate. The market then mirrors much of what we’re seeing today — no bidding wars or frenzy, just patience, strategy, and effort. Every showing mattered. Pricing mattered. Presentation mattered. The homes that sold were thoughtfully built, well cared for, and positioned correctly. A life long lesson – and here we are again.
Let’s Talk Numbers
The Hamilton, Burlington, and Niagara residential markets closed 2025 with sales at their lowest levels since 2010, more than 30% below long-term averages. New listings continue to come to market, keeping inventory elevated and pushing months of supply above five months for much of the year. Simply put: this market favors informed buyers and well-prepared sellers.
In Hamilton, 2025 closed with 5,615 homes sold which was the lowest since 2010. Inventory rose 25% year-over-year, with an average of 54 days on market.
A benchmark price of $718,708 representing a 5% decrease from last December. Burlington saw even sharper corrections, with benchmark prices easing over 6%, particularly for higher-priced detached and semi-detached homes. A total of 1,992 homes sold, the lowest ever recorded and nearly 40% below long-term averages, bringing the year-end benchmark from $980k to $852,100. Niagara saw a 28% drop in sales, comparable to 2009, with a 5% decrease in benchmark price to $772,242.
Favourable for buyers, yes- but for sellers, this environment rewards preparation. Accurate pricing, professional presentation, and targeted marketing are no longer optional; they’re essential.
A Smart Moment to Move Up — or Right-Size
One meaningful opportunity right now is for those entering the market or moving up the housing ladder. The price gap between townhomes and detached homes has narrowed, meaning families upgrading are paying far less of a premium than in past cycles. Entry-level detached homes are especially attractive for new buyers, while traditionally higher-priced “dream homes” face less competition — making them more attainable than many expect.
This is how real estate builds long-term financial security and legacy — not by chasing headlines, but by making thoughtful, strategic moves when the time is right.
Looking Ahead to 2026
As we move into 2026, there’s cautious optimism. Interest rates are expected to ease, and new government incentives may help stimulate activity after historically low sales. The market is expected to balance — not overheat — rewarding intention, preparation, and experience.
Much like the 1990s, homes priced right, presented beautifully, and guided by experienced professionals will stand out. Buyers who focus on value — not hype — will be well positioned for long-term, even generational, success.
At Casa Dolce, real estate isn’t just our profession — it’s part of our life story. Watching markets shift, homes sit, quality rise to the top, and patience pay off has shaped how we guide our clients today.
If you’re thinking about your next chapter — whether growing, simplifying, or exploring options — we’re here to help you move forward with clarity and confidence. Sometimes, the right market turns those “wouldn’t it be nice” real estate dreams into reality. In markets like this, experience is the advantage — and we don’t take that responsibility lightly.
Until next time,
